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科技股板塊上周表現平平,重磅股騰訊(0700)及阿里(9988)等現較顯著調整,惟京東(9618)周五逆市向上,全周計仍錄得逾4%的升幅,並已連續第三周向上。上周為京東「618」購物節,大行對「618」促銷活動看法正面,上調對京東「618」商品交易總額,最樂觀預測至3888億元人民幣,按年增長最多13%,重申「買入」評級。
京東股價水漲船高,由6月初重上220元後動力增加,近日收復100天線,再上試260元的阻力區。市場上京東的窩輪產品中,我們發行的認購證有不少已由價外變為價內,個別更變成深入價內,以12614為例,今年9月到期,行使價207.891,截至周五價內程度已有兩成,輪價收報0.66元,而當京東股價於5月尾時為200元以下之際,當時該認購證尚為輕微價外,價格約為0.27元,即是說該證不消一個月已升逾倍,深入價內。另外分別於237元(9月到期)及250元附近(11月到期)的兩隻認購證亦同樣變為價內,價格已升至四毫多及五毫多。
投資者或會問,既然已變為價內,不如將它當成正股坐到結算?為何要採取轉倉的策略?
要解答這個問題,首先投資者要先問自己,入場買窩輪的原意是甚麼。舉例說,投資者買入一隻價外,即行使價高於正股現價的認購證看好正股時,該投資者只付出時間值,過了若干時間及消耗時間值後,當正股發力向上,股價升至高於正股現價時(假設股息為零),即是說一隻窩輪已由價外變為價內,投資者便開始賺取價內值。
因此,當正股升至目標價後,投資者不妨考慮「見好即收」,趁有內在值時,先沽出鎖定利潤,再將部分利潤轉倉至價外或貼價之選,以時間值再換取賺內在值的機會,繼續參與正股上升機會。若股價出現掉頭向下,損失亦只是時間值,早前獲利的內在值仍能「袋袋平安」。
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