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十一國慶假期後復市的第一天,恒生指數周四(2/10)表現強勁,半導體及科技板塊亦成為焦點資金追捧對象,帶動恒指日內升逾400點。全社會首日跨區域人員流動量預計突破3.3億人次,同比增長1.7%,創歷年新高,顯示民眾出遊與消費熱情高漲。如料經濟回温或帶動恒指再度上升,看好可參考價外認購證(19505),行使價28,944點,2026年1月到期,實際槓桿11.9倍。不過,恒指已升至四年高位,如欲鎖定利潤,看淡可關注恒指認沽證(19363),行使價24,477點,2026年1月到期,實際槓桿12.4倍。
阿里巴巴(9988)近期表現受到國際大行看好。有大行最新將阿里港股目標價大幅上調近45%至每股240港元,該目標價已成華爾街分析師中的最高。分析師讚賞阿里在人工智慧及雲端運算業務上的積極佈局,特別是阿里與英偉達的合作,進一步強化其生成式AI平台與雲服務生態,適逄假期消費高峰或進一步支撐短期表現。看好可留意阿里認購證(20638),行使價209.88元,2026年3月到期,實際槓桿4.6倍。相反,如憂外增大戰仍對行業競爭有負面影響,看淡可考慮阿里認沽證(21080),行使價149.88元,2026年3月到期,實際槓桿4倍。
中芯國際(00981)於周四抽升一成至近88港元。隨著華為計畫2025年將910C昇騰AI晶片產量目標提升至60萬片,2026年更挑戰160萬片。如看好需求可關注中芯認購證(20569),行使價98.15元,2026年10月到期,實際槓桿2.5倍。相反,外電焦點報道英偉達CEO黃仁勳稱,內地在晶片製造方面僅落後美國數納秒,呼籲華府允許美企在內地市場競爭,如憂國際在芯片競爭加劇不利股價,看淡可考慮中芯認沽證(21090),行使價62.81元,2026年7月到期,實際槓桿2.6倍。
另一芯片股華虹半導體(01347)在9月底股價升一成,高見81.8港元,大行看好其長期前景,調高目標價13%至87元。公司加速轉型至40納米及28納米製程,積極擴大產能,受惠於國家集成電路產業投資基金第三期規模達470億美元,及本土設備供應商崛起。大行提升2028及2029年盈利預測,看好其在政策與補貼扶持下、內地無晶圓廠客戶需求增加時的產能利用率及毛利率。如看好華虹估值進一步提升,可關注認購證(21238),行使價98.47元,2026年6月到期,實際槓桿2.5倍。
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